A peak Netflix moment? Or a predictor of the Oscars?
Big day for “The Irishman” and “Marriage Story,” some notice for “The Two Popes,” “Dolemite,” a near tidal wave.
“Ford v Ferrari” a token nomination, “Once Upon a Time.. in Hollywood,” “The Farewell,” “Parasite,” the usual suspects of this award season are represented.
JLo and Margot Robbie…
Phoenix and Bale and Hanks and Craig and Pitt and DiCaprio and DeNiro and Pacino and Pesci and Hopkins…
Awkwafina and Beanie Renee Z. and Blanchett…for “Where’d You Go, Bernadette?” Seriously?
Cynthia Erivo tapped for “Harriet,” middling movie but a great performance.
“Us” and Lupita forgotten and shut out. “Dark Waters” and “Clemency” got no love.
At least the HFPA has overcome its Eastwood Icon Worship. A single Kathy Bates nomination for that one.
But best director’s a bit of a mess. They couldn’t rally support for one great directing job by a woman this year? Three impressive directing jobs by women, and no love?
There are a LOT of reasons to suspect that the Oscar nominations will NOT look like this list.
No argument against the “Marriage Story” acting nominations, but I am calling it. “The Irishman” has peaked. “Marriage Story” and it are over-rated, and dashing for the finish line before we can all take stock of that.
The “Jo Jo Rabbit” hype has faded, but just a bit.
NOBODY is claiming Awards Season glory on behalf of anything with Marvel in its lineage.
But “Joker” hasn’t peaked, so there may be some comic book movie love, come Oscar time. “1917” may not make a bigger splash than this, but “Ford v Ferrari’?” Come come now. “Dark Waters?” “Clemency?” Alfre? Mark?
The Academy has just enough time to step back, shrug off “Irishman” and “Bernadatte” and “Popes” and honor movies with more heft and relevance.

Best Picture-DRAMA
1917
The Irishman
Joker
Marriage Story
The Two Popes
Best Picture–COMEDY
Dolemite Is My Name
Jojo Rabbit
Knives Out
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Rocketman
Best Actress — DRAMA
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renee Zellweger, Judy
Best Actor — DRAMA
Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Best Actress — COMEDY
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Cate Blanchett, Where’d You Go Bernadette?
Ana de Armas, Knives Out
Beanie Feldstein, Booksmart
Emma Thompson, Late Night
Best Actor — COMEDY
Daniel Craig, Knives
Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit
Out Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
Best Director
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Todd Phillips, Joker
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Screenplay
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Bong Joon Ho & Jin Won Han, Parasite
Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman
Best Foreign Language Film
The Farewell
Les Miserables
Pain and Glory
Parasite
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Best Animated Film
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Missing Link
Toy Story 4
Lion King
Best Score
Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
Hildur Guðnadóttir, Joker
Randy Newman, Marriage Story
Thomas Newman, 1917
Daniel Pemberton, Motherless Brooklyn
Best Original Song
“Beautiful Ghosts” (Cats) — Taylor Swift & Andrew Lloyd Webber
“I’m Gonna Love Me Again” (Rocketman) — Elton John & Bernie Taupin
“Into the Unknown” (Frozen 2) — Robert Lopez & Kristen Anderson-Lopez
“Spirit” (The Lion King) — Beyoncé Knowles-Carter, Timothy McKenzie & Ilya Salmanzadeh
“Stand Up” (Harriet) — Joshuah Brian Campbell & Cynthia Erivo
Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Annette Bening, The Report
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Margot Robbie, Bombshell
Best Supporting Actor
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
For the TV nominations, which are an entity unto themselves as they are so far removed from the TV Academy’s Emmy Awards, and reflect nothing so much as “What’s new on TV this year” most years, thanks to the voters in the Hollywood Foreign Press Asssociation, go to The Hollywood Reporter.
