

Legendary screenwriter William Goldman, the guy who scripted “Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid,” “The Princess Bride” and “Misery” and who literally wrote the book on how Hollywood works and what to expect when trying to get a movie made, famously said this about the decision makers and the movies that they’d decide get made.
“Nobody knows anything.”
But what would Goldman make of a moviegoing weekend like the last one of May, 2026?
Two Youtube creators, with one taking a youtube series onto the big screen with actual movie stars, are dominating the box office and the movie conversation.
Skip by a lot of the conventional Hollywood paths to the green light. Create your thing and get it in front of the public. Then make your deal with A24 or Focus features from a position of strength and the confidence that you’ve already built audience and awareness — THEIR jobs, usually — and that you’ve got something people will want to see.
The alternate, horrific universe of the “Backrooms” of Chiwitel Ejiojor’s furniture store are the stuff of nightmares in Kane Parson’s intellectual property (4chan to Youtube to a Theatre Near You). And it is blowing up the box office model in a “Mandalorian and Grogu” summer.
This film, which A24 is disrupting the box office with, may clear $80 million on a non-holiday weekend, per deadline.com. A lot of good reviews are helping it along.
The guy dreamed this up and started telling this story online as a teen. So? Film school, shmilm school.
“Obsession” has no name stars and good reviews and a young, “show me something new” audience and BOOM goes the box office.
The nightmare of a shy guy getting his “wish” and winning the attentions of his crush is on track to clear the $100 million mark for Focus, with a big piece of that going to online comic (“that’s a bad idea”) turned horror filmmaker Curry Barker. It’ll earn $25 million this latest weekend, and skipped past the Disney “Star Wars” film spin off from the streaming series “Mandalorian and Grogu” mid-week as the better daily earner.
“The Mandalorian and Grogu,” merchandising be damned, will drop to THIRD place this weekend with a $24 million take. Critic-proof “content” or not, the writing may not be on the wall for worn out IP sequels and spinoffs like “Star Wars,” anything Marvel or “Scream” or “Final Destination” related. But the rewards of trying something new(ish) are back in the backroom Hollywood conversation.
Hollywood’s “content” obsession and milking IP “brand” entertainment like the streaming-driven “Mandalorian” is running up against “original ideas” and gettings its ass kicked. This is a real up is down moment for the mandarins of movieland.
“Michael” is still making bank out of whitewashing Michael Jackson’s career as King of Pop and will take in another $16 million for fourth. Bad reviews, the inconvient truths about Jackson’s freak show private life and later public stunts be damned, the faithful are honoring his sugar-coated and formulaic bio-pic.
Nate Bargatze’s journey to big screen comic icon has been rattled as the comedy “The Breadwinner” from Sony is on track to do a mere $8 million on its opening weekend, enough to crack the top five, but barely. Bad reviews aren’t helping.
And there’s a Brendan Fraser as Ike Eisenhower at D-Day drama “Pressure” that’s doing middling business and yet still may earn $5 million on its opening weekend for sixth place. Good reviews aren’t making much of a difference.
I’ll be ducking into theaters for a marathon catch-up day, and I suggest you do the same. This is a turning point moment for an industry that has been stumbling around looking for novelty and any new sure thing that’ll get ticketbuyers up and out of the house. None of us want to miss that.
And I’ll update these figures as the weekend progresses.



































