BOX OFFICE: Will “Aladdin” steal $60 or $80 on its opening weekend?




Disney’s had very good luck with its live action (plus loads of CGI) remakes of classic cartoons.

“Aladdin” should continue the box office domination of “Beauty and the Beast,” “The Jungle Book” and “Cinderella” and “Dumbo,” with little competition.

The only question is, will it only manage $60 million, on its opening weekend? is saying $73 million, North America, and $175 globally on its opening weekend. Variety calls it an $80 million opening weekend, which is in line with with a (some screens) 3D release in this line of remakes should earn.

It’s a LONG holiday weekend, and I’d be very surprised if this one doesn’t flirt with $100, but pre-release tracking doesn’t park this in “blockbuster” territory. Disney is hellbent on remaking its great run of animated hits as live action hits, and not all are destined to blow up.

Reviews have been lukewarm, to say the least. The movie sits right on the cusp on the Tomatometer and Metacritic. Rotten Tomatoes just added scores of newly credentialed critics in an effort to get a more diverse range of opinions. Didn’t help the PC “Aladdin.”

I found it a pointless shrug, OK for what it is — noisy, cluttered, overstuffed — fine for little kids, but meh.

Two other wide releases hit theaters this weekend. Glowing reviews could boost the rude and somewhat raunchy (language, only) “Booksmart,” but it’s still only set to earn $11-13 million. Will a girls-oriented R-rated comedy prove such predictions wrong? You’d like to think so.

Then there’s the imitation comic book movie “Brightburn,” about a Super…being taken in by a farm family and turning out EVIL. Yeah, the Screen Gems release sounds plagiarized from a comic book or two, or at least very very unoriginal in its genesis. Mixed reviews for this one, and it could open as high as $13.

“John Wick Chapter 3” should reach $100 million by the end of the holiday weekend, if not earlier in it.

“The Hustle” passes “Long Shot” in the summer comedy sweepstakes, and beats it to $30 million.

“Detective Pikachu” is already over $100, and fading, and “Avengers: Endgame” will hit the $800 million mark by weekend’s end.

The three new releases will shove “The Sun is Also a Star,” “Uglydolls” and “Poms” out of the top ten.




About Roger Moore

Movie Critic, formerly with McClatchy-Tribune News Service, Orlando Sentinel, published in Spin Magazine, The World and now published here, Orlando Magazine, Autoweek Magazine
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