BOX OFFICE: “Joker” heading towards an $80 million opening, a record for October

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It’s already blowing up in Korea, Europe. A $155 million worldwide opening is what prognosticators are predicting for Warners’ latest not-quite-canonical DC comics adaptation.

And thanks to pre-sales that were through the roof, “Joker” is starting off this first weekend of October with a $10 million Thursday night. 

Projections were for a “Venom” record breaking $80 million opening weekend. The “Venom” record was $80,255,000 and was set just last year.

A $10 million+ Thursday night  could up the ante and push “Joker” over the top.

An R-rated, incredibly violent “No wonder he turned out this way” origin story for Batman’s cackling villain could be Oscar bait for Joaquin Phoenix, and a real game changer for the Dark/Darker/Darkest Knight franchise.

Box Office Mojo is calling for an $85 million opening, but with all those presales…

“Lucy in the Sky” is opening in limited release on just 37 screens, so it won’t see the top ten. Reviews won’t help that Oscar bait make a dime. 

“Judy,” meanwhile, rolls out on another 1000 screens, so we’ll see if Roadside Attractions’ release strategy pays off. Box Office Mojo figures it will only do about as much business as it did last weekend — another $3.1 million or so. But there’s lingering affection for Garland, even if those who know her best are dying off. And Zellweger has been selling the heck out of it. It needs to stick around and clear $20 million, I figure, for it to be a boost to her Oscar chances. One bad weekend and it’s “Maybe not.

“Downton Abbey” came in second to “Abominable” last weekend, but returned to the top every day (save Thursday and Friday) this week, and will be at $75 million by Sunday night. It will hit $100 million before all is said and done.

“Hustlers” has also been out-performing the weakest opening Dreamworks cartoon in decades. Another $7 million this weekend will push it into the low $90s. Jennifer Lopez has herself a $100 million hit and a proper campaign could land her a best supporting actress nomination.

“Ad Astra” is staying in the top 5, still making millions but not nearly covering its budget, “Rambo: Last Blood” is fading and looks like it’ll top out at $45, maybe $50 if it lingers two more weeks.

“It Chapter Two” will clear the $200 million domestic mark by midnight Sunday, “Lion King” will close in on $550!

“Angel Has Fallen” is losing screens and its place in the top ten, and will fall shy of $75, all in.

Further down the charts, theaters are hanging onto “Peanut Butter Falcon” and that should help it clear $20 by Sunday.

“Overcomer” is dropping screens and should top out at $35 or so, a nice long run for a mediocre faith-based drama.

And way down the charts, “Fast & Furious Presents Hobbs & Shaw” is finally dropping off the charts altogether, not quite hitting $175 million. Not bad.

 

 

 

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