Box Office: Is “Terminator” doomed to a “Dark Fate,” “Brooklyn” to remain “Motherless?”

PHOENIX

Four titles open wide this weekend, with yet another “Terminator” movie headlining, Edward Norton’s passion project “Motherless Brooklyn” and a Harriet Tubman bio-pic vying for the crumbs.

And something called “Arctic Dogs” is on the docket as well.

At least Paramount’s latest incarnation of the venerable vengeance from the future franchise will own its opening weekend. “Joker” is still around, but no way will “Terminator: Dark Fate” not do “Maleficent” numbers, or higher.

Deadline.com figures “Dark Fate” should clear $40, but could tank at $30. Noncommittal, much?

Box Office Mojo thinks it could challenge “Terminator 3’s” franchise record of $44 million. The advertising and hype could help.

As they gave away the entire movie in the trailer, and what they gave away was recycled, maybe marketing hype won’t help. Other reviews? Mixed, in the “meh” range, at best.

The “Harriet” Tubman film from Focus wasn’t widely previewed for critics, and those who caught it early shrugged it off (I will get to it today.). It should do $8-9 million, per both Mojo and Deadline. That seems high, as the film looks like a straight to Lifetime (production values, no name cast) project. But we’ll see.

“Motherless Brooklyn” could do anywhere from $3 to $8, various tracking prognosticators say. Norton is a movie star, but “an older Ryan Gosling” is his box office status, and that’s not a selling point. Box Office Mojo says this very wide release won’t crack the top ten. Period pieces like “Motherless” seem more of a Netflix “Let’s get an Oscar nomination” gambit these days, and the reviews for this one have been mixed, too. I found it lacking.

The animated “Arctic Dogs” has a better shot at cracking the top ten, Mojo says. $5 million, which from Entertainment Studios and a multi-national production with Indian and Chinese money, animation farmed out hither and yon, would count as a win.

 

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