The first wide release cartoon to show up since “Incredibles 2” figures to own the box office this weekend.
None of the “Hotel Transylvania” movies have been all that. I mean, Adam Sandler, right? Reviews for the cruise ship installment in the series, “Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation,” have been indifferent, at best.
But Box Office Mojo figures it’ll do a whopping $45 million or so business by midnight Sunday.
The Box Office Guru is figuring $40 million is more in line with this proven brand’s expectations.
Either call should put it ahead of that other proven box office brand, Dwayne Johnson. His “Skyscraper,” another vehicle pairing the wrestler/actor with his “Central Intelligence” director, should do gangbusters business — $34 says Mr. Mojo, only $32 sayeth the Guru. I figure, after “Jumanji” and “Rampage,” Johnson’s BO appeal has never been higher and at least this is better than “Rampage.” “Skyscraper” could get a lot closer to the vampire cartoon.
Everybody is predicting “Ant-Man and The Wasp” to have a big drop-off on its second weekend. Low $30s is the most Marvel can expect to bank. Anything below $32 and you can blame comic book movie fatigue, four films inside of five months.
It’s done well during the week, a HUGE Tuesday, for instance. But basically, that one’s due to fade pretty quickly.
“Sorry to Bother You” is the best reviewed picture to hit wide release this weekend, an African American/Working American satire that hits more than it misses, it should crack the top ten, earning maybe $3 million. As George S. Kaufman famously quipped, “Satire is what closes Sat. night.” And “Sorry” is no “Get Out.”
“Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” will clear $350 by Sunday, “First Purge” will clear $50, “Won’t You Be My Neighbor” will be chased out of the top ten, as will “Ocean’s 8” (probably) and “Tag” (ditto), which are losing screens with all the new arrivals taking over.