OSCARS: Where we stand in early October

oscarsOn the eve of “Awards Season,” there are a dozen or so films that certainly intend to be in the Oscars mix by year’s end. But the Best Picture field has all the appearances of having firmed up quite a bit just in the past few weeks.

“Gravity” certainly seems like a contender.

“All is Lost” seems more a best actor possibility for Robert Redford, but it’s sitting in my tentative top ten at the moment.

“Captain Phillips,” unless there’s major blowback, has a best picture and a couple of acting nominations in it.

“Rush” deserves to be in the top ten, but only for now.

“The Fifth Estate” is quite good, definite top ten worthy.

“12 Years a Slave” (Oct. 18)  is still the Best Picture to beat. There could be a best actor and best supporting actress nomination in that one, maybe even best supporting actor.

“The Butler” has earned well over $100 million, adding to its summer picture worth remembering bonafides. Forest Whitaker seems a likely nomination from that one. The Oprah nonsense talk has died down.

“Fruitvale Station” seems destined to be forgotten by Oscar time. A pity if that happens. It didn’t do great business, causing the buzz to fade.

“Blue Jasmine” made its money and did well enough to stay in the conversation (summer movies with limited box office appeal are forgotten).  I still see that as a Cate Blanchett, maybe Sally Hawkins nomination. Not best picture. But maybe.

Might “The Way, Way Back” or my favorite “coming of age” picture, “The Spectacular Now” generate Oscar interest? Long shots.

“Mud” will be a long shot until Matthew McConaughey’s “Dallas Buyers Club” shows up. One could lead to a nomination for the other — best actor, I figure, or best supporting for “Mud.”

“The Secret Life of Walter Mitty” was screened early — a mistake — for some NY and LA critics, who knocked it right out of contention.

“American Hustle,” Nebraska” and “August, Osage County” are sitting out there, waiting for our consideration.

And Disney’s “Saving Mr. Banks” could be a second Tom Hanks contender, rolling over out the holidays.

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About Roger Moore

Movie Critic, formerly with McClatchy-Tribune News Service, Orlando Sentinel, published in Spin Magazine, The World and now published here, Orlando Magazine, Autoweek Magazine
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