The PGA is widely regarded as the surest of sure fire Oscar indicators, and if so, that means “Birdman” is the favorite come Academy Awards night. It took the two top awards at Saturday’s Producers Guild honors.

But “The Lego Movie” won best animated feature, and “Life Itself,” the Roger Ebert bio-boc, won best documentary. Both worthy winners, but not even up for an Oscar — “snubbed” by the Academy.

So make of all that what you will. “Boyhood” isn’t the Best Picture favorite, but an “upset” is more likely than usual. 75% of the time, PGA awards reflect future Best Picture Oscars.