Movie Review: “A Boy Called Sailboat”

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There’s romance in the sight of a sailboat, never moreso than when you see one is the last place you’d expect — the desert Southwest.

That arresting, poetic image has turned up in a few movies over the years — 2003’s “Off the Map” comes to mind. And it sets the tone for “A Boy Called Sailboat,” a charming romantic fable which opens with the sight of a cowboy hat-wearing used car salesman (J.K. Simmons) towing a fully rigged, old and worn-out sloop across the parched flatness of New Mexico.

He deals in classic cars, but is always on the hunt for “acquisitions” that add a touch of novelty, whimsy and fantasy to his mid-desert “Oasis” lot.

“Boy Called Sailboat” is about a nearby child who has been obsessed with the image of a sloop under sail since birth. He’s never actually seen one, but little Sailboat (screen novice Julian Ataconi Sanchez) has always drawn them, something only his sickly abuela (grandmother, played by Rusalia Benavidez) understands.

In Sailboat’s self-narrated folktale, our story doesn’t really begin until Sailboat himself finds “an acquisition.”

“My abuela says, ‘You find the most important things when you’re not looking.”

It’s “a little guitar” that suits his diminutive stature (a ukulele, actually). And it becomes Sailboat’s new obsession.

His indulgent mother (Elizabeth De Razzo) smiles and encourages him. Her obsession is spicy Mexican meatballs. Sailboat’s doting dad (veteran character actor Noel Gugliemi, wonderfully stone-faced) may have the bald head, face tattoos and scowl of a brute. But he gets it, too. His obsession is horses, and he’s covered the walls of their tumbledown (literally) shack with paint-by-numbers portraits of stallions. He paints them when he isn’t seeing to “the stick,” a colorfully decorated pole that props their leaning ruin of a house up.

Best pal Peeti (Keanu Wilson) may wish Sailboat would share his soccer obsession. Peeti cannot blink and is constantly putting drops in his eyes, and therefor needs a friend to pass the ball to while he’s administering the drops.

Even Sailboat’s loopy teacher (Jake Busey, perfectly cast) buys into the kid’s new “little guitar.” Teach is obsessed with rattlesnakes, and is forever showing them off to his class.

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The story really takes off when abuela, sick in the hospital, gives Sailboat a task.

“Write me a song on that little guitar.”

Which Sailboat, who seems to be about 8, attempts to do. He charms a cute girl classmate, who helps him. He draws the attention of school bullies, which is when Papa “gets that difficult look on his face” (scary) and has to intervene.

And the song the kid concocts makes grown men weep, leaves women, children and everybody slack-jawed with awe.

Which leaves Australian writer-director Cameron Nugent with a dilemma. How do you present a song you’ve built up with that much hype? The biggest letdown of “Mr. Holland’s Opus” is when we hear that “Opus,” in the film’s finale. The bust in Spike Lee’s “Mo Better Blues” is the song the lead composes of that title, which is no “blues,” jazz or otherwise.

So Nugent makes the screen go silent — with a thousand hertz tone playing when Sailboat sings his song. It’s a novel solution to a problem, but a rather irritating and unsatisfying one, I have to confess.

So many other ingredients to the picture dazzle and delight that this unfortunate miscalculation grows larger in contrast. Guitarists Leonard and Slava Grigoryan fill the guitar-duo score with snatches of folk songs and children’s tunes — fanciful Spanish guitar runs through “Row Row, Row Your Boat,” to “La Bamba,” “My Bonnie Lies Over the Ocean” to “House of the Rising Sun.”

And the film cheats us of a “big moment.”

Simmons gets to trot out his sexualized used car-salesman’s patter, Busey gives Bing the teacher a compassionately clueless touch — showing off snakes to little kids, nicknaming Sailboat “South of the Border,” dragging the class to the local tobacco factory for a field trip.

The pest control guy who uses desert lizards to eat problem insects, the creepy-seeming vintage Chevy driver (all the cars are old) who picks up Sailboat hitchhiking, the feisty abuela (“I am from Tijuana. Sick does not concern me.”)  — “A Boy Called Sailboat” bubbles over with delightful, light touches and decorations.

I’d buy the soundtrack if they put it on disc.

It’s just a shame Nugent couldn’t find a less grating solution to “We don’t want you to ever hear the song.”

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MPAA Rating: unrated, mild threats of violence

Cast: Julian Atocani Sanchez, J.K. Simmons, Elizabeth De Razzo, Jake Busey, Noel Gugliemi

Credits: Written and directed by Cameron Nugent. A Cinedigm release.

Running time: 1:32

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Preview, Travolta, Madsen and Shania are “Trading Paint” on and off the dirt tracks

No release date on this epic, which features a few authentic Good Ol’boys (Barry Corbin) mixed in with the likes of John Travolta, a suprisingly down home Kevin Dunn, Shania Twain (Southern Canada? Maybe.) and Michael Madsen.

Madsen is past-his-prime driver Travolta’s nemesis, the VERY guy the old man’s up and coming kid (Toby Sebastian from Blighty) would want to flee dad and go drive for.

Surely there’s a Shania title song about “Trading Paint” in there somewhere.

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Preview, an aspiring musician learns under a Hollywood legend — “The Maestro”

Yes, he was a real figure, the great composer, working in the shadows of Hollywood as others got the credit and students went on to become JOHN WILLIAMS and JERRY GOLDSMITH and HENRY MANCINI.

Yeah. Mario Castelnuovo-Tedesco really lived. He was a great concert guitarist, composing scores of classical pieces for the guitar. Then he fled Europe, settled in at MGM and scored 200 or so films. Almost never getting credit for them.

Xander Berkely plays him in “The Maestro,” a tale of a budding musician (Mackenzie Astin) who comes to study with him in the Beatnik ’50s.

“The Maestro” was slated to open in December, but is now opening Feb. 15.

 

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Preview, Matthew McConaughey IS “Moon Dog” in Harmony Korine’s “The Beach Bum”

Kind of a dizzy and dark riff on Matthew M’s “Awright awright awright, where’s my BONGOES?” past image, with a hint of “Spring Breakers” about it.

Korine landed Isla Fisher and Snoop Dogg and Jonah Hill and Zac Efron and…Martin Lawrence?

“The Beach Bum” opens March 22.

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Documentary Review: “Rodents of Unusual Size”

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The impression that sticks with you is of carnage — animals slaughered on a wholesale scale.

“We shoot until we run outta shells,” one camo-clad local drawls from the cockpit of his flat bottomed swamp boat.

But they’re shooting at “Rodents of Unusual Size,” the destructive “swamp rat” named nutria. So any cringing at all this shooting, trapping, skinning and lopping off the tails of untold hundreds of thousands is minimized, or at least dulled by repetition.

Here’s a nature documentary set in “Beasts of the Southern Wild” country, the coastal wetlands of Louisiana, fast disappearing due to oil and gas exploration, drilling, pumping and canal digging, by Missisippi River mismanagement on a vast scale, and due to the incursions of a 20 pound beaver-toothed rodent imported from South America, the bane of coastal marshlands across the planet.

A whimsical animated opening (narrated by Wendell Pierce) recounts “a tale crazier’n Hell,” about nutria — how a few folks, encouraged by the state, imported the Argentinian rodents in the 1930s to broaden Louisiana’s fur industry.

The most famous importer, and the one who gets most of the blame (not all of it deserved), is E.A. McIllhenny, scion of the Tabasco Sauce empire. Nobody messing with nutria knew what they were dealing with, and keeping them penned up while they bred like their fellow rodents — rats and rabbits — was a challenge.

Which the nutria entrepreneurs abandoned, loosing their stock into the state’s marshes “to aid the state’s fur industry.”

As the fur is quite soft and pretty, that worked out — sort of. A LOT of people trapped and sold nutria for their fur. Until “Fur is Murder”  sea change of the 1980s. The market collapsed, and battered wetlands, broken by river-dredging, river traffic and the canals dug by the state’s rampant oil and gas exploration, were beseiged from below. Nutria love marsh greenery. And they dig burrows that flood and collapse the landscape they’ve denuded.

Generations of water folk who had used nutria trapping as a winter source of income were broke, and losing the land literally under their feet. So the state went after nutria with a vengeance — a $5 bounty on every nutria tail.

As much as this fifth generation Cajun or umpteenth generation Native American waterman (and the occasional woman) declare that they were taught “never to kill something unless you make something with it,” that’s just what they’re doing.

Tails cut off, fur-covered corpses with big orange teeth and a meat not unlike rodents we eat (rabbit) tossed back into the swamp.

If the carnage of “nutria skinning contests” doesn’t turn you off, the sheer waste just might.

But filmmakers Chris Metzler, Jeff Springer (they did “Plagues and Pleasures of the Salton Sea”) and editor/co-director Quinn Costello turn this documentary about a necessary evil — Louisiana IS washing away, after all, and they’re NOT going after the oil and gas industries, so — into a serio-comic essay on the duality of man — redneck man, anyway.

But as wildlife officials lecture about the utter necessity of scaling back the nutria population (still in the millions), as a state employee who tries to trap nutria out of the canals of New Orleans itself (levees and bridge foundations are being undermined), as hunters efficiently take their .22s to their shoulders and pick off another quarry and old-timers tally their day’s count with the state tail-tally assessor, we sense their grudging admiration for the critters.

You’re not getting anybody in North America to eat the meat (again “rabbit”) without major rebranding (the filmmakers named their production company “Tilapia,” after a re-branded trash fish). But the fur has the “sustainable” cachet.

There’s a Fur Queen Beauty Pagent, the nutria is a newly-hip sports mascot down on the bayou and one hunter’s even taken a nutria as a cuddly “high maintenance” pet.

So whatever outsiders might think of the carnage, or the acceptable hatred of an “invasive species,” the locals seem to have reached their peace with the invader, even if they’re not keeping them as pets or adding them to their gumbo.

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MPAA Rating: unrated, animal slaughter, mild profanity

Cast: Briefly narrated by Wendell Pierce.

Credits: Directed by Chris Metzler, Jeff Springer, Quinn Costello. A Tilapia Film?PBS release.

Running time: 1:11

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Movie Review: Which of these Four Sisters has “Crossed the Line?”

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“Crossed the Line” is a soapy, sloppily-plotted thriller that might have played better on the TV network that originally produced it. But thanks to its violence and language, this 2014 Ice-T versus four vengeful sisters tales earns its release on assorted video platforms.

Caryn Ward of TV’s “Grown Folks” and “Fame” is the LA sibling keeping her family and the family business running after their mother’s death.

Mom ran a flower shop, and that’s what Kyra does, with little help from her partying, short-tempered sister Lynn (La’Myia Good).  Kyra’s responsible enough to be legal guardian for pretty tennis player with college dreams Sherrie (Lauren Pennington) and mousy aspiring nurse Denita (Shanell Rene).

That flower shop gives them all a middle class life and the younger sisters the chance to dream bigger. But the shop is on the edge of South Central, and it’s a convenient “respectable” and above-board business, the perfect place for drug drops.’

Which is why Miguel (Ice-T) wants it. And when Kyra won’t sell for the right offer, Miguel’s boys stage a robbery and club Kyra as they do.

Whatever the streetwise Denita gets from this, Sherrie’s too-soft-to-be-a-thug secret beau, Twist (Sam Sarpong) sees enough to know who did it, and plot his revenge on their behalf.

That’s what “Crossed the Line” is about, a little lecture Miguel gives in the opening moments — “Revenge,” he says, “is how the world makes stuff right.”

Twist robs an underage aspiring gang-banger of a bag of drugs, hides them with Sherrie, and soon Miguel’s gang AND the cops are all over the sisters, landing Kyra in jail, with Lynn bellowing “We’ve gotta pack heat ourselves,” and “We want justice? We’re gon’ have to GET it ourselves!”

A cycle of vengeance ensues that swallows everybody we see here, pretty much.

Movies that don’t work share one thing in common, that first moment that takes you out of the story. Here, it’s the police raid on the sisters’ house. It’s a 65 second affair that gets them through the door, finding drugs in Sherrie’s room, Kyra accepting the blame, the cops cuffing her and all but sprinting out.

No search for more drugs. No questioning of the siblings. Nobody by Kyra summarily taken “downtown” and jailed.

Twist’s inept, under-motivated stalk and robbery were weak, but this scene needs a walker or a wheelchair.

Even as Kyra makes a prison buddy, Juicy (Vanessa Williams, top photo) and two sisters’ culpability in all this misery that’s visited on them all becomes clear, the movie’s little grace notes — Juicy’s sassy prison pose, Miguel’s “Thou shalt not steal” lecture to a little kid who needs to learn “revenge,” not petty theft — are overwhelmed by the mendacious mediocrity of the dialogue and plotting.

The cast is game enough, and the simple parable plotting of the story plays. The players deserved sharper characters, a more surprising narrative and better lines.

Because scene by contrived scene, loaded with lapses in logic and freighted with teppid dialogue, “Crossed the Line” stumbles forward towards an all-too-obvious conclusion which cannot get here soon enough.

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MPAA Rating: unrated, with gun violence, drugs, profanity

Cast:  Caryn Ward, Shanell Rene, La’Myia Good, Ice-T, Lauren Pennington, Vanessa Williams, Sam Sarpong, Jack Guzman

Credits: Directed by Dennis Conrad, script by Dennis Conrad and Laura Scheiner.  A Gravitas Ventures/BET release.

Running time: 1:32

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Movie Review: Tom Arnold screams “Dead Ant”

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“Dead Ant” is a real “Give the Devil his due” B-movie.

And by “Devil” I mean that Trump-tanned comic neer-do-well Tom Arnold, who delivers laughs where few exist in this “drive-in” genre riff set where U2 took inspiration for “Joshua Tree.”

Arnold plays Danny, the ’80s relic manager of hair metal band Sonic Wave, formerly Time Warp, whom he wants to take inspiration from the most potent peyote available to “find your moment” and write a song that goes viral and wins the desert campout music fest, “Noachella.”

“I’m not creepy. Even PROVEN it in court,” Danny oozes to a couple of bikini-topped groupies.

Danny’s the guy who, when giant ants start chasing him and his band, bellows, “If this wasn’t so SCARY, it’d be AWESOME.”

It is Danny who, after a band member is devoured by said giant ants, notes “Not the FIRST band member we’ve had to replace…This s— happens every DAY in rock’n roll!”

This “Coachella/Them” inspired horror spoof by Ron Carlson is a sort of instant cult-film, or aspires to be.

A has-been band with one hit “power ballad” behind them — led by guitarist Pager (Rhys Coiro), featuring shrieking singer Merrick (Jake Busey), shag-topped drummer Stevie (Leisha Hailey) and bassist Art (Sean Astin, in wig, shades and “Sucks to Suck” hat) heads to the desert, pre-festival, for “inspiration.”

A medicine man named Bigfoot (Michael Horse, funny) and his diminutive sidekick Firecracker (Danny Woodburn of “Seinfeld” fame) warn and warn all who buy their “Blue Moon” or “Sunshine” peyote of “grave consequences if they don’t respect it and the “sacred site” where they’re to injest it at sundown.

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They do disrepect it.

And Merrick has barely noted his irritation at the post-Cobain/Kanye changes in “rock” with “I MISS the makeup, man!” When they’re running for their lives.

Carlson finds scattered laughs in the cheesy effects — ant traps, towering blood geysers, a Hobbit mauled by fire ants — and the ironic zingers blurted out by the stoners seen here.

“There’s like 22000 species of ants, right?” doltish Merrick offers. “But none on Ant-
ARCTICA!”

The opening scene, a hippe chick who is the first to ignore the peyote warnings, has the full allotment of B-movie nudity (she disrobes as she’s chased).

And the picture never abandons its B-movie pretentions, kind of noble, generally a plus in movies like this.

It isn’t much, amusing junk at best. But “Dead Ant” lets Busey be a stoner-philosopher, Hailey be a rock-chick heroine (’80s style) and Coiro (“Entourage”) demonstrate the power of a “power chord” in a “power ballad,” especially where there are murderous insects concerned.

See it not-entirely-sober with a friend. And give the Devil his laughs. Arnold, this time out, earns them.

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MPAA Rating: unrated, bloody (comic) violence, drug abuse, nudity, profanity

Cast: Tom Arnold, Leisha Hailey, Jake Busey, Michael Horse, Cameron Richardson, Sean Astin, Rhys Coiro, Danny Woodburn

Credits: Written and directed by Ron Carlson. A Cinedigm release.

Running time: 1:27

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Best Documentary Nominee “Minding the Gap” coming to PBS/POV Feb. 18, and later.

The documentary series “POV” airs at different times in different markets.

But this award-nominated documentary, “Minding the Gap,” about teens growing up in America’s Rust Belt, made for Hulu, will show up on that program before the Oscars are handed out.

Feb. 18 at 9pm is the national rollout day and time, but “check your local listings” as we used to say when we watched broadcast TV.

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OSCAR NOMINATIONS 2019: Lots of “Black Panther,” “Roma,” “Favourite” and “Vice” love

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Nominations for the 91st Academy Awards rolled out this AM, live streamed in addition to televised.

And “Black Panther” kept coming up, alphabetically the first film named in category after category –costumes, score, sound mixing, sound editing. Seven nominations, including best picture. As this blockbuster picked up any script, acting or directing nominations.

So “Best picture long shot,” we’ll say. For now.

Not that Spike Lee‘s “BlackKklansman” didn’t make some noise, with nominations for score and best supporting actor. “BlackKklansman” collected six nominations in all, quite the haul for Spike Lee’s “Comeback” picture.

Similarly, nominations for Amy Adams and Christian Bale editing and makeup and Sam Rockwell made “Vice” an Oscar nominations winner, alphabetically turning up at the end of lists of nominees time and again. “Vice” landed six nominations, including Best Picture and best director, Adam McKay.

“Roma,” a pre-announcement Oscar favorite, cleaned up with ten nominations.

Surprisingly, for a movie widely noted to lack standout performances, using non-actors in many roles, it nailed down Supporting Actress (Marina de Tavira) and Best Actress (Yalitza Aparacio) nominations.

roma.jpgThat’s what being in an “Oscar favorite” will do for you.

Glenn Close is still the Best Actress favorite, but she’s competing with Melissa McCarthy (“Can You Ever Forgive Me”), “Star is Born” lead Lady Gaga, pre-Oscar “Favourite” Olivia Colman and Yalitza Aparacio from “Roma.”

“The Favourite” earned eight nominations, including Best Picture, Best Actress (Olivia Colman), Best Director (Yorgos Lanthimos), Best Supporting Actress (Rachel Weisz AND Emma Stone, Oscar winners, will split the vote, there, giving the Oscar to somebody else — Regina King of “If Beale Street Could Talk,” probably. Again.).

“If Beale Street Could Talk” pulled in Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Supporting Actress nominations. No Best Picture nod for this one or “First Man.” Shame.

Those headline the “Oscar Snubs” — no love for “Won’t You Be My Neighbor” by the always problematic Best Documentary nominating committee, no nomination for screen legend Robert Redford for “The Old Man and the Gun,” no Bradley Cooper best director nomination, and so on.

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“Green Book” has taken on the role of Oscar dark horse, “if not outright favorite or at least “safe choice,” thanks to Pre-Oscar wins with the Golden Globes and the Producers Guild and Critics Choice. A Best Picture, Best Editing, Best Supporting Actor (Mahershala Ali), Best Actor (Viggo Mortensen), Best Original Script nomination but again no BEST DIRECTOR for Peter Farrelly, so, a longer shot than it might have seemed last weekend.

Ah, but what about the MUSICALS most everybody saw?

star1.jpg“A Star is Born” earned eight Oscar nominations as well — Best Picture, Best Actress, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor (Sam ELLIOTT), Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Song but NOT a Best Director nomination. So it is set up to be a Big Oscar Night loser, based on that and the pre-Oscar losses.

“Bohemian Rhapsody” has a Best Picture nomination, and one for Rami Malek as Best Actor and for Best Editing.

“Mary Poppins Returns” picked up four nominations, including Best Song and Best Score.

Willem Dafoe pulled an upset nomination for best actor in the under-appreciated “At Eternity’s Gate,” Richard E. Grant lands a Best Supporting Actor nod for “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” (no sure thing) and Spike Lee was nominated THREE times for director, co-scripting and co-producing Best Picture nominee “BlackKklansman.”  “Vice” writer-director Adam McKay pulled the same hat trick.

 Paul Schrader’s “comeback,” “First Reformed,” saw him pick up a screenplay (original) nomination, but nothing for Ethan Hawke’s stand-out work in the lead role.

If “Roma” doesn’t clean up Oscar night, there’s always a chance another Netflix film could perform. “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” got best adapted screenplay, best original song and best costume nominations.

Best Picture

“Black Panther”

“A Star Is Born”

“Roma”

“The Favourite”

“Vice”

“Bohemian Rhapsody”

“Green Book”

“BlacKkKlansman”

 

Best Actress

Glenn Close, “The Wife”

Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”

Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”

Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”

Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

 

Best Actor

Christian Bale, “Vice”

Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”

Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”

Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”

Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”

 

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, “Vice”

Marina de Tavira, “Roma”

Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”

Emma Stone, “The Favourite”

Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, “The Green Book”

Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”

Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”

Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

Sam Rockwell, “Vice”

Best Director

Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”

Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”

Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”

Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”

Adam McKay, “Vice”

Best Original Screenplay

“First Reformed”

“Green Book”

“Roma”

“The Favourite”

“Vice”

Best Animated Film

“Incredibles 2”

“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

“Mirai”

“Ralph Breaks the Internet”

“Isle Of Dogs”

Best Cinematography

“Cold War”

“The Favourite”

“Never Look Away”

“Roma”

“A Star Is Born”

Best Visual Effects

“Avengers: Infinity War”

“Christopher Robin”

“First Man”

“Ready Player One”

“Solo: A Star Wars Story”

Best Foreign Language Film

“Capernaum”

“Cold War”

“Never Look Away”

“Roma”

“Shoplifters”

Best Documentary Feature

“Free Solo”

“Minding The Gap”

“Of Fathers and Sons”

“RBG”

 “Hale County This Morning, This Evening”

Best Documentary Short Subject

“Black Sheep”

“End Game”

“Lifeboat”

“A Night at the Garden”

“Period. End of Sentence.”

Original Song:

“All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch

 

Makeup and Hair:

“Border”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
“Vice”

Costume Design:

“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne

Visual Effects:

“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”

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Oscars AM — Does anybody REALLY know what’s coming? Live Streaming time.

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Seems like everyday’s Internet assault on the eyeballs is toploaded with speculation, “push polling” on behalf of “Black Panther” (ahem), how “Viola Davis could sneak in there for ‘Widows'” (maybe, a long shot), “Crazy Rich Asians” (Really?) or something else that has been insanely popular at the box office but actively dismissed during Awards Season.

The Lady Gaga/”Star is Born” crowd has quieted down a tad. They’re in shock over the Golden Globes, Critics Choice and PGA Awards.

But today, the book is written anew. Will “The Academy” (as it always calls itself, even on its Facebook page) go its own way this year?

Will “A Star is Born” gets its (Gaga fan) entitled “due?”

Will “Roma,” a picture with no stars, no nominatable performances and shown (but not watched) on streaming give Netflix an Oscar just as it raises its prices and starts to feel the heat from the competition that will break its stranglehold on Streaming? (Peak Netflix, all downhill from here?)?

Do forgotten films like “First Man” have a prayer of making a dent? Might deflated prestige pictures like “Vice,” “Mary Queen of Scots” or even “Widows” see some Oscar love?

This year’s “Green Book” and (earlier) “Bohemian Rhapsody” affection make one wonder. Sure, Christian Bale seems a lock, Mahershala Ali, maybe Glenn Close. Maybe Olivia Colman. Lady Gaga.

Will both of Colman’s co-stars earn “Favourite” supporting actress nominations? That’s how Regina King, in a subtle, doesn’t-show-much turn in “If Beale Street Could Talk” has become the supporting actress favorite. Maybe they’ll just nominate Oscar winner Rachel Weisz or Oscar winner Emma Stone, both of whom dazzled.

Will Amy Adams or Saoirse Ronan break through in one of those categories?

We just don’t know. This year has been all over the place.

You can live stream the Oscars wherever you are, via their Youtube page, or this year, their Facebook page. As I am in a cable free corner of NC at the moment, Youtube it is for me.

Anything to avoid ABC’s “Good Morning America” teases, tease outs and tedious “expert Oscar watchers.”

The Pre “Show” gets underway at 820.

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