Theaters filled Thursday afternoon and evening with “Toy Story 5” screenings, and that added up to a whopping $17.5 million “previews” take, which set the table for an epic Juneteenth Friday of over $70 million.
And that, Deadline.com projects, puts Disney’s cash cow kiddie franchise on track to a $160-170 million opening weekend in the U.S. market.



That’s the second highest opening weekend ever for an animated blockbuster, trailing omly the pre-Trumpflation “Incredibles 2” record of $182 million back in 2018.
There’s a good chance this Pixar franchise over-performer will match that, but we’ll see. Family filmgoers have been starved for a kids-out-of-school film, and the holdover “Super Marios Galaxy” wasn’t bringing anybody back twice and “Mandalorian & Grogu” is fading and losing screens.
I think this is the weakest and most laugh-starved “Toy Story,” but it has its moments and finishes with more comic oomph than its first 90 minutes provide. Critics overall trend towards overly-forgiving of Pixar product in general and this franchise in particular. So we’ll see if Friday was but a taste of what’s to come or word of mouth suppresses the rest of the weekend.
Steven Spielberg’s last shot at “Aliens are coming” as subject matter is taking a STEEP plunge on its second weekend. “Disclosure Day” opened in the $40s but will only clear $16 on its second weekend, a 63% drop. Universal had best hope that projection holds. Nobody’s talking about it.
Spielberg is probably kicking himself that he didn’t throw in a cute alien rock crab for luck. Heaven knows THAT paid off.
“Obsession” is proving to be the date movie with legs, the horror movie that won’t fade away, as it comes in third with another $13 million take. It cleared the $200 million mark Thursday.
“Backrooms” is also rewarding studios financing smart horror, even if its falling off much faster than “Obsession,” with a $7.5 million tally on its third weekend. That’s good enough for fourth, and with $175 million in the bank, that’s another impressive cost-profit ratio for all of Hollywood to learn from and envy.
The weak tea “Scary Movie” reboot is still making enough money to put it over $100 million by midweek, with a $7 million take this weekend.
The horror title “Leviticus” is on track to crack the top ten with a $3.8 million opening.
Hugh Jackman’s turn as Robin of Loxley, “The Death of Robin Hood,” will clear $2.75 million and might also squeeze into the bottom half of the second five. That’s about all this downbeat, bloody “Robin Hood Nobody Asked For” merits.
Does that mean “Michael,” “Masters of the Universe” and the fading “Mandalorian and Grogu” will finally exit the top ten? Probably not.
But check back here, as I’ll be updating these figures as the weekend progress.
