BOX OFFICE: “Captain America” opens shy of “huge,” “Paddington” doesn’t do Disney numbers

Fan anticipation for any Marvel movie is always high. But one didn’t get a lot of sizzle from the “Captain America: Brave New World” trailers over the months.

There’s been so much Marvel content streaming that the entire blockbuster mother lode has seemed a tad tapped out. An “event” like “Deadpool & Wolverine” might be viewed as an outlier in a declining market for comic book adaptations. Is anybody just dying to see “Thunderbolts?”

But a long holiday weekend in Feb. may breathe new life into the brand. Whatever the reviews, and they haven’t been good, “Brave New World” will own this three day and four day weekend and by a mile.

The film did weak (by Marvel standards) Thursday night numbers — $12 million per Deadline.com, folding into a Friday that added $28. That $40 million opening “day” suggests it might come in below the take for the last lackluster “Ant-Man” sequel, “Quantumania.”

Sat. and Sunday pushed it  to $88.5 million, all in over three days.

They cast it reasonably well, but Anthony Mackie‘s never been a big draw — before now. Harrison Ford’s fanbase isn’t what it was, and Giancarlo Esposito and Tim Blake Nelson — with no other Marvel stars or even a decent female lead included in this “universe” — are excellent actors without the star power to open even an indie drama.

Even if it tails off in a rush next week and beyond, I dare say Marvel will pop a few corks over a $88.5-100 million holiday weekend, considering the rewrites, reshoots and the general malaise that came from them for this bummer of a placeholder picture. But we’ll see if that proves to be an over-optimistic Friday/Sat. AM projection. Word of mouth is already tracking very poorly.

“Paddington in Peru” has gotten much better reviews, but it’s appeal is undeniably narrow in the parents-taking-kids movie market. The books are dated, the humor is reserved and even the slapstick plays as old fashioned, and his twee and quaint British “universe” won’t be to every parent’s liking.

“Representation” counts for something if you’re a Black, Hispanic or Asian parent looking for something your child can enjoy with characters they identify with.

Taking the bear to Peru helps, and bringing in Antonio Banderas as a fun, over-the-top villain counts for something. Word of mouth will have to boost this one, as no child and few parents will consider Oscar winners Olivia Colman and Jim Broadbent and “Downton Abbey’s” Hugh Bonneville, with Emily Mortimer and Julie Walters to be a draw. And the reviews have been more subdued than for previous “Paddington” outtings.

Even if the third film in this charming franchise doesn’t do much more than $16 million over four days, figure word of mouth will give it a kick. But that’s half the opening weekend cash “Dog Man” did and there’s no sugar coating that.

“Dog Man” is set to earn another $10 million this weekend, it’s third in release.

“Heart Eyes” enjoys another weekend as the top horror title in release for fourth place, $7-10 million over four days.

And the Chinese animated “Ne Zha 2,” a blockbuster at home if not the rest of the world (yet) will enjoy a top five finish, with over $6 million in ticket sales projected.

As always, these numbers will be updated as the weekend progresses.

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About Roger Moore

Movie Critic, formerly with McClatchy-Tribune News Service, Orlando Sentinel, published in Spin Magazine, The World and now published here, Orlando Magazine, Autoweek Magazine
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