
This weekend at the movies is the calm before the “Dune” sandstorm. “Dune: Part 2” is coming March 1, and will bury every film released this year in a sandstorm of ticket sales.
Pre-release reviews have been raptorous, even (up to a point), mine. Don’t TELL me Warner Bros. will leave this tale at just the first book in Frank Herbert’s quintology.
But Paramount will continue cash-in on their compromised but warm and just inspiring and heroic enough, and very well-acted “Bob Marley: One Love.” No, it’s not good enough to have been a serious awards contender, save for Kingsley Ben-Adir’s turn in the title role. But Deadline.com projects it will add another $13-14 million this weekend, pushing it over $70 million in North America.
It will be near $80 by the time “Dune” storms in. It might not make $100 million, but it’ll come close. It will clear the $100 million mark worldwide by weekend’s end,.
The newcomer making this weekend’s movie box office noise is an anime action “episode” (the 11th) of “Demon Slayer,” “Kimetsu no Yaiba -To the Hashira Training.” It’s on track for a $10-10.5 million weekend, and as it is probably pointless to drop in on this eleven episodes in, and judging from the for-fans-only snippets I’ve seen, I’ll be giving this a hard pass. But thanks for your service to the local cinema, fans. They could use the ticket sales.
“Ordinary Angels” has Lionsgate behind it, and probably not the church-pulpit/Fox News/OAN backing of a “Sound of Fury” or “God’s Not Dead.” This sweet drama, based on a true story, shows people of faith making their own “miracles” with good deeds aimed at saving a dying child. The film had a middling Thursday night and a decent Friday, pointing it towards a $6.5 million opening. I hope its audience finds it. Hilary Swank may be the most under-rated Oscar winner of them all.
“Madame Web,” an ill-advised, badly-cast superhero movie on the wrong side of that superhero movie curve (they’re finally losing their cachet with fans) is on track to lose 65-70% of its underwhelming opening weekend audience on its second weekend, adding only $5 to 5.5 million, only good enough for fourth place.
And the middling animated hit “Migration” has two more weekends all to itself before “Kung Fu Panda 4” comes along to give parents a choice in animated fare to take the kiddies to. It’s coming in fifth place, another $3-3.5 million, and will have cleared the $120 million mark by midnight Sunday.
For those wondering, the one-Coen-brother-not-two action comedy “Drive-Away Dolls,” which earned middling to negative reviews (barely a laugh in it) is bombing. Focus Features follows up its bomb “Lisa Frankenstein” with a vulgar flop about two lesbians from the 1999 model year stumbling into mob beheadings and blackmail on their rhymes-with-bike bar-tour way to Tallahassee.
It will only open at $2.5 million, Thursday to Sunday night. Ouch. Focus has lost focus on the sorts of fare that was their bread and butter, and their marketing department treats their product as if this is a money-losing/money laundering operation. Time to clean house and repent, kids. Dogs like this make it easy to understand why they’re not screening most of their wares for critics pre-release these days.
I will update these figures as the weekend progresses and more data comes in.

