Weekend Box Office: Will “Identity Thief” pick everybody’s pocket?

“Identity Thief” has a subject that’s very much on the public mind, a couple of stars who are reliably funny and has been hyped to death in TV ads for a month.

Does that translate into a blockbuster opening weekend at the box office?

Box Office Mojo is betting that McCarthy and Bateman will be enough to guarantee a $25 million haul for the Seth “Horrible Bosses” comedy.

Mr. Box Office Guru sees things a little closer to what I’d expect — $18 million. Melissa McCarthy isn’t a big star, yet, and Jason Bateman has never been box office, despite having a decent track record in screen comedies.

Reviews will NOT help this one (mine is here).

“Side Effects” is too adult to blow up, so Steven Soderbergh’s last/next to last or whatever movie won’t be a blockbuster. But both the Guru and Mr. Mojo see that as an $11 million hit. It’s riding some pretty good reviews. (Mine here)

Is there a pent up audience for seeing “Top Gun” in IMAX 3D, a state of the art 1986 air combat actioner with the box office pariah Tom Cruise in the lead? No. But we’ll see. They’re charging ticket prizes through the nose.

“Warm Bodies” may hold onto audience and hit the mid $teens, and “Hansel & Gretel” should be in the top five as well.

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